To service initially government, and increasingly private sector, needs for launch, telecommunications/bandwidth, imagery, scientific research, fabrication and other activities in low earth orbit (LEO), traditional and new aerospace and aeronautics companies are developing the rockets, satellites, energy, cameras and other tools for short- and long-term activities in space.
The space economy is an opportunity to grow new careers for engineers, physicists, medical professionals, and eventually mining, manufacturing and other trades. The space economy promotes students and research across numerous fields of STEM – Science Technology Engineering and Math. As humans look up at the night sky from all over our planet, the space economy and the innovations it requires raise common hopes and dreams for operating cooperatively, collaboratively, for the benefit and even survival of all humankind.
Two key factors limit the rate of growth for the spaced economy: liquidity (the delays between when a company builds its space asset and when the asset generates revenues to repay investors and lenders), and risks (technical, financial, political and random).
Viewed from a wider lens historical perspective, these factors – liquidity and risks – are inherent in many terrestrial industries, such as agricultural where crops are planted subject to weather, rain, insect and other factors dictating the harvested crop’s quality and yield.
To handle such liquidity challenges and risks, and to better match the supply of marketable goods and services with their demand, various industries have created commodities exchanges to define the characteristics of what “commodity” is being produced and sold, and the standardized contractual terms on which the commodity would be sold.
Urban Logic conceived of a formalized commodities exchange that lets all market participants in the space economy better visualize and predict market opportunities and risks, by enabling them to trade standardized and reliable space commodities to be designed, supplied, or necessary in the near future. Such an exchange would enable commercial and government organizations to identify quantifiable surpluses, gaps, valuations, and destinations for space commodities that economically and scientifically achieve and sustain their space exploration and development goals faster, cheaper, and safer. Such organized market transaction data and analysis would also let potential suppliers better understand market demand and justify capital investment and valuation.
Inspired by the commodities futures trading exchanges that exist today terrestrially, Urban Logic is working to establish a similar trading exchange to support the emerging space economy by offering five groups of space commodities, including futures contracts for standardized in-space services to financial derivatives for risk transfer and liquidity. Without a Space Commodities Exchange, growth of the space economy could be slowed or investments mis-allocated.
Much of our research justifying the Space Commodities Exchange is shared in a May 2018 paper, lead authored by Urban Logic’s CEO and founder, Bruce Cahan: Space Commodities Futures Trading Exchange: Adapting Terrestrial Market Mechanisms to Grow a Sustainable Space Economy (https://doi.org/10.1089/space.2017.0047).
Urban Logic’s next step in organizing the Space Commodities Exchange is to convene a Board of Trade of all interested parties.
To contribute to this project, and to suggest Board of Trade participants who would actively use and shape the Exchange, please contact Bruce Cahan bcahan [at] urbanlogic.org.
For Bruce Cahan’s presentation of the Space Commodities Exchange at NewSpace Conference 2017, see this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWEtBIxREsU.Read more